UK may see a summer surge in COVID-19 cases as curbs are eased: Government advisory scientist

Professor Adam Finn, of the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation, says UK is still vulnerable and the dates for easing restrictions may need some adjusting

The UK is likely to see a “summer surge” in Coronavirus cases as many adults were still not vaccinated against the disease, a British government advisory scientist said.

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On Wednesday, Professor Adam Finn, of the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI), an independent expert advisory committee that advises health departments on immunisation, said modelling shows Coronavirus cases will rise in the summer as lockdown is relaxed, Xinhua news agency reported.

“The models that we’ve seen on JCVI clearly point to a summer surge in cases as the lockdown is relaxed, because there are still many people in the adult population who’ve not been immunised,” he told the BBC. Finn, from the University of Bristol, said the UK is still “vulnerable” and the dates for easing restrictions may need adjusting. “Quite a wide range of uncertainty” remains over how big the wave would be “because it depends on how quickly the vaccine rollout continues”, he said. It also depends on whether people will stick to the rules as lockdown is eased, he said.

“If people move too far forward with that too fast, we’ll see things start to come up earlier,” Finn said. “The sense that the problem is all over, I’m afraid is a flawed one, we’re still in a vulnerable situation, and there are still significant numbers of people who potentially could be harmed by this infection if this happens.”

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said on Tuesday that as the UK continues to make progress in the fight against Coronavirus, “we cannot delude ourselves” that the virus has gone away. He noted that the majority of scientific experts are of the view that there will be another wave at some stage this year and Britons must learn to live with the virus. 

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