India likely to see normal monsoon for 4th year on trot: IMD

Rainfall during 2022 monsoon will be 96 per cent to 104 per cent the Long Period Average of 87 cm of the 1971-2020 period, IMD said

India is likely to witness normal rainfall during the monsoon season this year with favourable La Nina conditions predicted to continue during the June-September period, the India Meteorological Department said on Thursday.

The country had received normal rainfall during the four-month southwest monsoon season in 2019, 2020 and 2021.

A normal monsoon is critical for agriculture in the country as about 60 per cent of India's net arable land depends on rain. The monsoon brings in nearly 70 per cent of India's annual rainfall and determines the yield of several grains and pulses.

The rainfall during the southwest monsoon season in 2022 will be 96 per cent to 104 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA) of 87 cm of the 1971-2020 period, the IMD said. Earlier, the IMD used to consider the LPA of 88 cm of the 1961-2010 period.

Quantitatively, the June to September monsoonal rainfall is likely to be 99 per cent of the LPA with a margin error of 5 per cent, it said.

IMD predicted that there is a 40 per cent probability of ‘normal' rainfall, 15 per cent probability of ‘above normal' (104 per cent to 110 per cent of LPA).

60
Per cent of areable land dependent on rain

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